I have to ask because Steyn is hitting home runs lately on a pace that makes Barry Bonds look like a bench warmer on the local bobby sox team. Do they even make brain steriods?
In his latest out of the park piece titled Facing Down Iran Steyn argues quite convincingly that Islamofascism is the greatest threat to civilization of our time, and Iran is at the heart of the beast.
If you divide the world into geographical regions, then, Iran’s neither here nor there. But if you divide it ideologically, the mullahs are ideally positioned at the center of the various provinces of Islam—the Arabs, the Turks, the Stans, and the south Asians. Who better to unite the Muslim world under one inspiring, courageous leadership? If there’s going to be an Islamic superpower, Tehran would seem to be the obvious candidate.
Mr. Steyn provides a little history and demonstrates just how long we have ignored the danger.
Very few of us considered the strategic implications of an Islamist victory on its own terms—the notion that Iran was checking the neither-of-the-above box and that that box would prove a far greater threat to the Freeish World than Communism.
But that was always Iran’s plan. In 1989, with the Warsaw Pact disintegrating before his eyes, poor beleaguered Mikhail Gorbachev received a helpful bit of advice from the cocky young upstart on the block: “I strongly urge that in breaking down the walls of Marxist fantasies you do not fall into the prison of the West and the Great Satan,†Ayatollah Khomeini wrote to Moscow. “I openly announce that the Islamic Republic of Iran, as the greatest and most powerful base of the Islamic world, can easily help fill up the ideological vacuum of your system.â€
Today many people in the West don’t take that any more seriously than Gorbachev did. But it’s pretty much come to pass. As Communism retreated, radical Islam seeped into Africa and south Asia and the Balkans. Crazy guys holed up in Philippine jungles and the tri-border region of Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay who’d have been “Marxist fantasists†a generation or two back are now Islamists:
And then the wake up call:
Four years into the “war on terror,†the Bush administration has begun promoting a new formulation: “the long war.†Not a reassuring name. In a short war, put your money on tanks and bombs—our strengths. In a long war, the better bet is will and manpower—their strengths, and our great weakness. Even a loser can win when he’s up against a defeatist. A big chunk of Western civilization, consciously or otherwise, has given the impression that it’s dying to surrender to somebody, anybody. Reasonably enough, Islam figures: Hey, why not us? If you add to the advantages of will and manpower a nuclear capability, the odds shift dramatically.
Steyn points out that everyone should come to the same conclusions after a cursery look at the Iranian theocracy’s history:
Anyone who spends half an hour looking at Iranian foreign policy over the last 27 years sees five things:
contempt for the most basic international conventions;
long-reach extraterritoriality;
effective promotion of radical Pan-Islamism;
a willingness to go the extra mile for Jew-killing (unlike, say, Osama);
an all-but-total synchronization between rhetoric and action.
Yet half of us here in the states and most of Europe is completely blind to it.
In his own way Steyn asks if Multiculturalism is going to get us all killed:
Back when nuclear weapons were an elite club of five relatively sane world powers, your average Western progressive was convinced the planet was about to go ka-boom any minute. The mushroom cloud was one of the most familiar images in the culture, a recurring feature of novels and album covers and movie posters. There were bestselling dystopian picture books for children, in which the handful of survivors spent their last days walking in a nuclear winter wonderland. Now a state openly committed to the annihilation of a neighboring nation has nukes, and we shrug: Can’t be helped. Just the way things are. One hears sophisticated arguments that perhaps the best thing is to let everyone get ’em, and then no one will use them. And if Iran’s head of state happens to threaten to wipe Israel off the map, we should understand that this is a rhetorical stylistic device that’s part of the Persian oral narrative tradition, and it would be a grossly Eurocentric misinterpretation to take it literally.
He then concludes with the bad choices before us and the right one is obvious:
Perhaps it’s unduly pessimistic to write the civilized world automatically into what Osama bin Laden called the “weak horse†role (Islam being the “strong horseâ€). But, if you were an Iranian “moderate†and you’d watched the West’s reaction to the embassy seizure and the Rushdie murders and Hezbollah terrorism, wouldn’t you be thinking along those lines? I don’t suppose Buenos Aires Jews expect to have their institutions nuked any more than 12 years ago they expected to be blown up in their own city by Iranian-backed suicide bombers. Nukes have gone freelance, and there’s nothing much we can do about that, and sooner or later we’ll see the consequences—in Vancouver or Rotterdam, Glasgow or Atlanta. But, that being so, we owe it to ourselves to take the minimal precautionary step of ending the one regime whose political establishment is explicitly pledged to the nuclear annihilation of neighboring states.
Once again, we face a choice between bad and worse options. There can be no “surgical†strike in any meaningful sense: Iran’s clients on the ground will retaliate in Iraq, Lebanon, Israel, and Europe. Nor should we put much stock in the country’s allegedly “pro-American†youth. This shouldn’t be a touchy-feely nation-building exercise: rehabilitation may be a bonus, but the primary objective should be punishment—and incarceration. It’s up to the Iranian people how nutty a government they want to live with, but extraterritorial nuttiness has to be shown not to pay. That means swift, massive, devastating force that decapitates the regime—but no occupation.
Read the whole thing and I promise you will be thinking about it on your drive home, at the dinner table and as you lay in bed tonight.
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Out Of Time Part II
As I have said before we are Out Of Time. It has become increasingly obvious that when Thug-In-Chief Ahmadinejad fails to comply with United Nations demands to freeze their uranium enrichment program, a strike will indeed become necessary, and assessin…
Trackback by All Things Beautiful � April 11, 2006 @ 3:01 pm
Excellent overview..seems like the clock is ticking UA..who will make the first move and what praytell shall it be..
Comment by Angel � April 12, 2006 @ 8:35 am
the most disturbing feature of this confrontation is the iranian president’s religious fanaticism. we are in deep sh*t on this one. here’s a guy that has built a mosque on top of a well, where the 12th iman resides. i think he has also laid the equivalent of a red carpet from the mosque to the presidential palace. why? his little band of merrymen believe that the guy in the well will only come out when armageddon starts. how it starts doesn’t matter–just so long as it starts. once he is out the caliphate will resume.
if the description above is accurate, it won’t matter what we do. whatever approach we take will always lead to the same place. war with iran. why? because that’s what they want.
we are in the twilight zone………..
ie. last night on the news, specialists all mentioned that they only had 164 centrifuges. to get weapons grade they would have to have 1500 running for year so its no big deal at this time. the president hears that and today announces they will have 54,000 up and running next year.
we are circling the drain…………
from Wikipedia……
Hojjatieh is a semi-clandestine Iranian organization which is radically anti-Bahá’à and anti-Sunni. The group flourished during the 1979 revolution that ousted the Shah and installed an Islamic government in his place. However it was banned in 1983 by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the father of the revolution.
They believe that chaos must be created to hasten the return of the Mahdi, the 12th Shi’ite Imam. Only then, they argue, can a genuine Islamic republic be established.
The current president of Iran Mahmud Ahmadinejad is rumored to be an advocate of this group. Since the president took office in August 2005 almost all of his major speeches contain some reference to the return of the 12th Imam. A September address to the U.N. General Assembly contained long passages on the Mahdi which confused Western diplomats and irked those from Sunni Muslim countries who believe in a different line of succession from Mohammed
Comment by patrick neid � April 12, 2006 @ 11:58 am